Andrew Sullivan observes that the current GOP coalition is showing signs of serious wear, with special stress due to the current push for immigration reform. Laura Ingraham thinks that if the legislation is passed that it’ll be “time to rebuild and restart.” This after Trent Lott recently said that “talk radio is running America. We have to deal with that problem. ”
Um, okay. One question: Who do conservative talk radio personalities propose to build a coalition around? What sort of lasting majority is going to be built around anti-immigration and conservative cultural values? Current twenty-somethings trend liberal–making all the talk radio sweet spots electoral losers in the future. Isn’t a pro-market, culturally moderate (or agnostic) Republican party more of a natural coalition?
Ingraham, Malkin, Coulter, Hannity, Beck, et al. would all have to abandon any hope of cultural victories and join up with the Lou Dobbs, too much change gives me the willies crowd if they had any hope of building support. And if you have to give up half of your political motivation in the process (i.e. ditching gay marriage and stem cells to appeal to independents), what sort of principled movement would that be?
In short: good luck with that.
UPDATE: This New York Times article confirms the liberal leaning demographic trend.